UK prices hit deflation in April
Figures show further fall in prices last month.
The UK has hit deflation, with annual inflation as measured by the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) dropping to -0.1% in May, down from 0% in April.
It’s the first time the CPI has entered negative territory since records began in 1996 and the first time since 1960, according to comparable historic records.
The biggest fall in prices came from transport, notably plane and ferry fares. The timing of Easter this year, falling earlier, meant that fares were lower than they were in April last year, says the Office for National Statistics.
Falling food and fuel prices have also continued to impact the figures, with the ongoing supermarket price war a big factor. Asda made a host of price cuts in April, which some of its competitors responded to.
What this means for your money
Deflation means that we have more money in our pockets as prices fall. Of course, it depends on what you spend your money on as to how much wealthier you’ll feel.
The Bank of England has factored a period of deflation into its forecasts, so this means interest rates are unlikely to rise in the short term to combat it. Indeed, some experts believe this is the only month that we’ll see deflation.
There has been much talk about the difference between ‘good deflation’ and ‘bad deflation’. ‘Good deflation’ is defined as putting a bit more money in our pockets in the short term, while ‘bad deflation’ goes on for a longer period of time and leads to economic stagnation.
The expert view is this is a period of ‘good deflation’, and the impact of lower fuel prices and food will disappear in the coming months.
For mortgage borrowers, there’s an interest rate price war going on at the moment which means fixed rates in particular are falling to record lows. So if you’re on the lookout for a mortgage, or you’re nearing the end of a fixed rate period or on a standard variable rate, it’s a very good time to shop around to see if you could get a cheaper deal.
For savers, while it means all savings accounts beat the cost of living, rates are unlikely to increase in the short term. In fact, the recent trend has been for them to fall again.
If you want to make your savings work harder then it’s worth looking at high-interest current accounts, peer-to-peer lending or even dabbling a toe into the stock market via an ISA.
Earn up to 5% from a current account: compare them now
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Nick Pike: please speak for yourself: we manufacture, there are a dozen businesses who make things within three streets of us, and it's not nice to have one's business swept under the table just because you don't happen to have looked out the window. As for the remainder - would could happily afford the NHS if the government collected the taxes which are due, - maybe if we need a few more quid we could lose the free champagne! The welfare bill you cite is more than half pensions. You gonna tell your mum we can't afford her? I figure those remnants of the generations that won the World Wars, and worked through the Twentieth Century, deserve not to be shot like knackered horses.
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I am not wholly convinced by the 'good deflation' argument lets say deflation continues for a quarter just in time for Osborne to produce his slash and burn budget and for thousands of public servants to end up on the dole queue we could have the elements of a perfect neo liberal economic storm. Stagnation could be a relatively benign outcome. The thing about entrenched deflation is that it does not matter how good your business is or how hard you work you cannot make a profit, compounded by the impoverishment of the consuming classes. Great Depression anyone?
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Deflation according to the crooked government fiddled statistic that is. Notice that tax increases do not following the CPI. I notice that my Council Tax increased on April 1st and my petrol costs more than last month. Has anyone bought a leg of lamb recently? No deflation there either. It is all Mickey-Mouse numbers meanwhile most people are more impoverished keeping warm and getting about and buying a house.
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18 July 2015