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Published 20 July 2009
Ed Bowsher investigates how deep the recession could go, and takes a look at the prospects for the UK economy
Ed Bowsher chats with influential figures Ray Boulger from John Charcol, editor of Money Week, John Stepek and Justin Urquhart Stewart from Seven Investment Management.
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You Could Save said
I thought the video was crystal clear and will be looking forward to
the next one, the problems still to be exposed will run deep, I hope
they get uncovered in future videos, take the MP’s expenses, mix that
up with UK businesses having to outsource jobs to other countries as
Britain becomes too expensive to make employment profitable with our
own people?
If you go and throw half of the country out of employment by
“out-sourcing” all of the jobs this immediately leaves the UK people in
a state of decline? It economic downturn did manage to expose the
expense claims brilliantly but it’s a shame nothing of value has been
done about it and the Swine Flu seems to be the new virus destroying
confidence.
As for growth, I try not getting mixed up with the problems that
other people cause, I refuse to jump on that band wagon, I learn’t the
power of the Internet years ago, when Google launched in about 1998 it
changed the way many looked at business as a whole, between 1998-2009
everything was good online, it went passed being about just search in
2000, again many business refused to sell online when e-commerce came
in, businesses were confused as the Internet became scary for
many older businesses so they justs played, these days some websites
you can actually feel emotion, with tools like Twitter, Facebook groups
you can even follow the social side of business without having to learn
to play golf.
There are still many industries to be hit financially by online
replacements who know how to to take the business from the people who
ignore the opportunities that now exist online.
I wrote an article about prescription glasses only last week, £5.00!
how many opticians in your local town could stay in business or
compete with that? How do they do it? It really is not difficult to
work it out.
The Internets success over the last 11 years has indeed brought good
change, many businesses chose to wait for it to fail instead of
researching the success stories and being part of it, many more
businesses will continue to lose money if they don’t take it seriously
and quickly, the solution for growth, is positive change.
I changed strategy on approaching new business as a whole, I decided
to stop ALL face to face meetings and just use the phone when needed,
the tools the Internet provides are trusted, fast, environmentally
friendly and fast.
I have work with many Times Top companies without any travel being
involved, which in my industry is unheard of, but most importantly with
tools like social media and micro blogging new business for me is a lot more cosy effective.
I think Ed Bowsher should have bought that £300 iPhone, they’re
going for £400 plus on eBay, he could have made a profit if he had sold
it second hand!!? Joking aside, if shops run out of stock the economy
must be booming one would think? Perhaps the problem was the retailer
not being able to get enough credit to fulfil demand and why trading
online can actually sell a product second hand for more than RRP(
Recommended Retail Price)?
20 July 2009
Tayloff said
Thanks for your comment. It seems that YouCouldSave.co.uk isn't the only fan of our latest video.
Annie Shaw from CashQuestions.com says; “This is an excellent analysis of the current state of the recession. In fact it is one of the best items I have seen on lovemoney.com. Ed Bowsher is a great presenter and explains everything in a simple down to earth way, backed up by the three other experts in the film."
Richard Fenton from SurvivingTheCreditCrunch.org.uk says; "This film is worth a few minutes of anyone's time as it delivers the truth without bringing fear upon the viewer.”
Insurance blog Insiders View describes it as "definitely one to watch" and it has been written about on personal finance blog, Money Watch
It has even been featured on AOL.co.uk's property pages
Burns said
Very simple and clear. Thank you, Ed.
22 July 2009
GrumpyYoungWoman said
Great presentation and a really interesting video. Good stuff!
23 July 2009
Ed Bowsher said
Thanks for the compliments, folks. Glad you found it useful.
Ed
And good point about the iphone, youcouldsave, I wish I had gone and got one on the first day. Could have made a nice quick profit.
PennyJS said
Thank you so much for making things clearer. I find the media the most
difficult to deal with and as our economy is based on confidence, could we
please stop being so negative.
I
think the major element in household expenditure is the mortgage and
that if house prices were more realistic we wouldn’t be in this
situation. Does any one else think the 2 income household was a major
cause for the start of this, allowing the cost of housing to be force
up. This now has reached the point that most parents both have to work
to keep up with the cost of living. We have a society where the most
important element for our future, our children are handed over for
their upbringing to, at minimum uncertain psychological damage and at
best an OK system, all with profit as the driving motive for existence.
With parents too exhausted to really work out the best way to
discipline their children, positive reinforcement, which takes time and
patients. Consequently children are missing the most important element
in their upbringing, the time and attention of their parents. What sort
of society we are storing up for the future I dread to think.
25 July 2009
nickpike said
Why consult Ray Boulger? He's always wrong. Will he resign in 12 months when house prices have fallen another 10%, having said the bottom has been reached?
There's no plan to get us out of recession. Brown says spend our way out, but it should be on investment and wealth production. Brown's spending is on the welfare state, the NHS and government jobs, in other word, Labour voters.
You also spend if you put funds by for a rainy day. This whole spending spree is debt driven. Bound to fail. With things left as they are, we won't be coming out of recession, ever. Therefore the laws of economics will kick in as an automatic control. Anything paid from the public purse could dry up.
So where does this leave house prices. Well they aren't going to be bouyant.
They can only collapse further. My own opinion is that over the next 5 years, prices will sink at least another 25%, on top of the 25% we have had already. We have had a steadying in the market, but that's with the spring bounce, 125 bn QE and 0.5% interest rates. There's no more tricks left, so the only way from now is down.
Brown is the best factor for house prices. He is destroying our economic system, and will therefore maximise the drop in house prices. Then young FTBs will be able to buy again, if they have a job. Pity the graduates who have a weak jobs market and huge uni debts to pay off. They'll hardly be in a position to buy a house.
That is what we need. Cheap houses.
If you want houses to be as cheap as possible, vote Labour in the GE.
jonnie2thumbs said
any economy based on ever increasing consumer spending, in a world with finite resources, is bound to fail in the end.....
moneybags said
Buy a boat. Houses have a long way to go down. Buy a boat !
www.interboot .de.tl
03 August 2009
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