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House prices rocket by over 90%

Christina Jordan
by Lovemoney Staff Christina Jordan on 03 February 2011  |  Comments 13 comments

Despite the global recession the last decade has still seen UK house prices boom.

House prices rocket by over 90%

After years of booming property prices the great British public were brought back down to earth with the credit crunch in late 2007 and subsequent recession.

Against popular belief property prices proved that they could indeed fall. And fall they did. Between the peak of the market in the third quarter of 2007, when they hit £199,766 (according to Halifax) and the trough in the second quarter of 2009, when they fell to £157,767, they had plunged by a massive 21%.

This simultaneously scared homeowners, who had long been smugly counting their ‘equity pennies’, and thrilled wannabe first-time buyers who finally saw a chance that they might, just might, be able to get onto the housing ladder.

But even given the turmoil of the last few years it turns out that the inexorable rise in property prices is simply unstoppable. The market has stabilised since 2009 and average UK prices have risen by a decent 4% since, ending 2010 at £164,310.

This marks a whopping 91% rise (£78,000) in average UK property prices in the last decade, from £86,095 in 2000. Even with the worst post-war global financial crisis thrown in!

It’s little wonder that Brits are like bees to honey when it comes to property – drawn in by the sweet temptation of equity riches.

Indeed, over the lifetime of a mortgage (usually 25 years) property has historically performed extremely well. In the last quarter of 1985 average UK prices were £37,259, according to Halifax. By the end of 2010 they had increased by a whopping 440%.

North/South divide

The Halifax research highlights another interesting trend, as well as spiralling prices. There has long been a North/South property divide but in the noughties it actually narrowed, as price booms in the North of the country meant it started to play catch up.

House price growth in the Northern regions averaged 102% in the last decade compared with 75% in the South. As a result, the average house price in the regions across the South (£206,091) is now 56% higher than in the North (£132,163). It’s still a massive gap but 10 years ago prices in the South were, on average 80% higher than in the North.

The North’s dominance can be seen in the table below. Indeed, the six regions with the highest house price growth since 2000 are all outside the south of England.

Greater London (63%) and the South East (75%) saw the smallest price gains over the decade.

Regional house prices in the noughties

Region

Average price in Q4 2000

 

Average price in Q4 2010

10 year percentage change

 

North

£55,284

£127,260

130%

Yorkshire & the Humber

£55,975

£125,730

125%

Wales

£63,967

£133,371

108%

North West

£62,485

£128,875

106%

East Midlands

£70,613

£138,446

96%

Northern Ireland

£72,652

£140,178

93%

South West

£99,305

£187,918

89%

West Midlands

£81,795

£151,663

85%

Scotland

£61,039

£111,780

83%

East Anglia

£87,708

£156,652

79%

South East

£130,778

£229,073

75%

Greater London

£153,454

 

£250,720

63%

UK

£86,095

£164,310

91%

Source: Halifax

When you drill down to a more local level, the results are even more interesting, and quite surprising.

Penzance in Cornwall recorded the biggest increase in house prices among UK towns during the last decade, with the average house price in the town increasing by 193% from £70,171 in late 2000 to £205,532 at the end of 2010.

A massive 167 (50%) of the UK towns surveyed recorded at least a doubling in house prices over the past 10 years, and eight of the 20 towns that delivered the largest gains are in Scotland.

In fact, only four out of the 20 towns with the largest prices gains were in the South, and they were all in the South West.

Top 20 towns and cities in the noughties

Town

Region

Average price in Q4 2000

Average price in Q4 2010

10 year percentage change

Penzance

South West

£70,171

£205,532

193%

Penicuik

Scotland

£61,824

£172,476

179%

Carnforth

North West

£81,249

£225,488

178%

Barnstaple

South West

£76,889

£212,454

176%

Irvine

Scotland

£42,576

£115,724

172%

Peterhead

Scotland

£51,118

£138,718

171%

Driffield

Yorkshire and the Humber

£58,160

£157,662

171%

Truro

South West

£92,054

£242,417

163%

Llanelli

Wales

£46,000

£120,750

163%

Gainsborough

East Midlands

£49,069

£127,551

160%

Newquay

South West

£81,559

£209,439

157%

Workington

North

£49,673

£126,773

155%

Goole

Yorkshire and the Humber

£56,969

£145,090

155%

Inverness

Scotland

£60,386

£153,648

154%

Belper

East Midlands

£76,820

£194,946

154%

Cupar

Scotland

£68,496

£172,394

152%

Inverurie

Scotland

£86,825

£218,174

151%

Barry

Wales

£54,842

£137,627

151%

Leven

Scotland

£45,886

£113,559

147%

Port Glasgow

Scotland

£45,150

£111,726

147%

Source: Halifax

Time to buy?

Of course, it’s not all about the amount of equity you gain in your property, and any home is only worth what someone is willing to pay for it at the time you want to sell. Plus the averages are just that. The UK property market works on a much more local level that even town and city averages.

More importantly, there are many other perks to homeownership, from the freedom to paint the walls the colour you want, not the colour your landlord chooses, to the increased security that many perceive owner-occupation to offer.

Throw in the fact that in many parts of the country servicing a mortgage is cheaper each month than paying rent and it’s no wonder that our fascination with homeownership never seems to wane.

Thankfully the mortgage market is slowly repairing itself and lenders and homebuilders are increasingly targeting first-time buyers with schemes to give you a helping hand onto the ladder. It’s by no means easy and large deposits are still required but the market is moving in the right direction. And that’s definitely a good sign.

If you think now might be a good time to make that all-important first step onto the housing ladder, but you don’t know where to start, why not contact an independent lovemoney.com mortgage adviser now. They are free, they are fully qualified and authorised to give personal advice and they will help you search the market for a deal that really meets your needs.

More: Find a competitive mortgage | How to buy a property at auction |The mortgage to kickstart the housing market

Use lovemoney.com's innovative new mortgage tool now to find the best mortgage for you online

At lovemoney.com, you can research all the best deals yourself using our online mortgage service, or speak directly to a whole-of-market, fee-free lovemoney.com broker. Call 0800 804 8045 or email mortgages@lovemoney.com for more help.

This article aims to give information, not advice. Always do your own research and/or seek out advice from an FSA-regulated broker (such as one of our brokers here at lovemoney.com), before acting on anything contained in this article. 

Finally, we tend to only give the initial rate of a deal in our articles, but any deal which lasts for a shorter period than your mortgage term may revert to the lender's standard variable rate or a tracker rate when the deal ends. Before you take out a deal, you should always try to find out from your lender what its standard variable rate is and how it will be determined in the future. Make sure you take all this information into account when comparing different deals.

Your home or property may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage.

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Comments (13)

  • Bob Iredale
    Love rating 0
    Bob Iredale said

    I think your figure of 90% is about right from the late 60's.Highest inflation figure of any other product and hidden by politicians.To quietly push first time buyers out the market as mortgage applications have shown.

    Report on 03 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  0 loves
  • XrayEye
    Love rating 8
    XrayEye said

    This marks a whopping 91% rise (£78,000) in average UK property prices in the last decade, from £86,095 in 2000.House price growth in the Northern regions averaged 102% in the last decade (Therefor we're still massively overpriced as can be seen by the comparison in average wage growth in the same period)

    when they fell to £157,67, they had plunged by a massive 21%, (by a tiny 21%!!)

    It’s little wonder that Brits are like bees to honey when it comes to property – drawn in by the sweet temptation of equity riches. (replace these words by GREED)

    Time to buy? Of course, (NOT)

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    More contradictory false economy. Are you one of the people who go in a shop and see a label on a dress that says was £200 now £120 and think, wow a saving of £80 (a bargain)? When realistcally you should be thinking 'Do I really want to spend £120 on a dress?'

    Report on 03 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  0 loves
  • Meanmachine2
    Love rating 37
    Meanmachine2 said

    As the figures given seem to indicate that house prices have roughly tripled then surely this indicates nearer a 300% change in value. The 150-190% figures as quoted should really be down as a percentage increase. It may be me or perhaps it's just the way you look at it. 

    Report on 03 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  0 loves
  • JRAY100
    Love rating 52
    JRAY100 said

    Overuse of uppercase will be tamed (you can edit your comment to prevent this):

    please do not promote the property market.

    property is an over-priced investment and, as happens with all markets, it will re-adjust to an equilibrium level.

    currently interest rates are being maintained at an artificially 300 year low base rate.

    this is a safety net to prevent a collapse in the market. there is an unfortunate consequence in terms of uk denizens wishing to buy, in that outsiders using other currencies have the additional discount, because of the low value of sterling - hence the popularity of high value london properties.

    the net will be removed in order to gracefully reach the equilibrium level.

    over the decades the investor needs to bias the portfolio: look at gold in the mid-80's and now. were those interested in property buying gold over the last five years? no???

    the peak of the ftse100 was nearly £7000 on the last trading day of 1999, compared with a closing price today (3 feb 2011) of almost £6000. this is making a statement - the stock market has value and will reach a higher equilibrium level. look at the high overall yields and the dividends. they are much higher than those of interest rates with better tax relief. the stock market is a place to consider investing in 2011. the ftse100 may even reach a new high in 2011. buy in a dip. risk can be averaged by using etf's (which are also exempt of stamp duty) - there are even property reits should one not be convinced about falling property prices.

    here's a little tip - some stocks incorporated outside the uk trade without 1/2% stamp duty: lse:expn; lse:chtr; lse:pfc. happy investing in the correct markets!!!

    etf lse:xuks shorts the ftse100 - so if the market seems too toppy, then short it! 

    And now here are some pictures to help lighten the mood

    Report on 03 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  1 love
  • CuNNaXXa
    Love rating 373
    CuNNaXXa said

    People should be buying homes for living in, so that regardless of whether the price goes up or down, the intrinsic value of a home is in the shelter it provides.

    People who buy homes to let out to others are playing a game where they may make money, or lose money.

    Basically, if you treat your home as a home, it's monetary value is secondary to its value as a shelter, whereas if you buy to let, your investment may be worth less than the money invested.

    Report on 03 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  0 loves
  • Numberthinker
    Love rating 7
    Numberthinker said

    The house I bought in 1971 for £6,900 has increased in cost by more than a hundredfold. I saw it advertised at £695,000 late last year. I could afford it in 1971 when I was the only breadwinner and had two children. I couldn't afford it today. Eventually people will get wise to the fact that houses are seriously overpriced and are damaging our wealth. Instead of pouring money into a heat-leaking, CO2 generating fossil - because that is what most houses on the UK market are - start investing in energy saving so the world is a fit place for your children.

    Report on 04 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  0 loves
  • nickpike
    Love rating 277
    nickpike said

    Up 90% when wage inflation was something like 30% iT was not agenuine reason for price hikes other than loose lending, fraudluent lending and 100% mortgages. It lead to the credit crunch.

    For those reasons houses have to crash back to pre bubble levels. Rhey were doing this and then wollop, 0.5% IRs.

    The effect of the ulta low IRs has now vanished and house are on the slide again. Shooule IRs go back up, and they will some time, pricves will collapse.

    The laws of economics were stretched too far and the chickens are coming home to roost. When prices return to the long term average, over something like a 50 year period, prices aill have risen by between 2 and 3 per cent per annum. Nothing to shout out about.

    This is no time to buy. You could lose tens of thousands.

    Report on 04 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  0 loves
  • richmoll
    Love rating 26
    richmoll said

    A small point for meanmachine2. A 100 % price rise means prices have doubled so a 200% rise means they have trebled and hence a 300% rise means they have quadrupled. 

    Report on 04 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  0 loves
  • oldhenry
    Love rating 274
    oldhenry said

    The UK has a finite area to build on realistically. Therefore house prices will reflect this. What is important is where they are, people need work and work that pays decent wages, not burger flipper wages. That is why the South East will be a strong market.

    Historically the prices have always risen in the long term to reflect demand. The population of UK is high and growing - too high I would say for the work available- they will need houses. So always buy the best you can in an area that is desirable.

    Report on 04 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  0 loves
  • meldrewreborn
    Love rating 46
    meldrewreborn said

    In a free and open market house prices are always (by definition) in BALANCE. The price of any one property and the average price of all propeties is driven by supply and demand. The way to reduce prices generally is to increase supply - that means a big increase in house building for at least a decade.

    If you think that a massive increase in house building is unlikely then resign yourself to steadily increasing house prices - simples! And don't forget, part of the past house price inflation is due to property improvements - central heating, double glazing , extensions etc. The average property now is not the same as the average property in the past therefore the comparison is to some degree flawed.

    Report on 04 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  0 loves
  • richab
    Love rating 2
    richab said

    Unfortunately the house market is not a free market - supply is restricted, not by the amount of land but the amount of planning permission,

    It is utterly wrong to think that high and increasing house prices are good for the economy. They suck up more and more of income in interest payments to those global banks we all love to hate.

    The unfortunate thing for us is that the banks have a captive market. We all need somewhere to live and someone has to own the properties we live in.

    To free ourselves from debt, leaving us with more disposable income and more money that can find its way to the treasury to fix our public finances, we need house prices to come down, although it would be better if this was managed so that they didn't crash.

    Free up more land for building though planning permission changes. This reduces the cost of land and therefore the cost of property. The idea that there isn't enough land is a false one, even in the crowded south east there is plenty.

    Free the land, free the people.

     

    Report on 05 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  0 loves
  • CuNNaXXa
    Love rating 373
    CuNNaXXa said

    People keep mentioning about a housing crash. This will not happen unless we have a financial meltdown, such as horrific inflation, or a plague that wipes out half our population.

    The simple fact is that if the value of our homes suddenly dropped by 50% (back to the 2000-2003) period, more people would be able to afford to buy (meaning more people could raise a mortgage with a bonafide lender), but this sudden surge in buyers in a market of restricted resources (the homes available to buy) would push the prices back up again.

    The housing market is very much like an auction. If you offer a lot and there is hardly any interest, you'll probably be lucky to reach the reserve, but if you offer a lot that has a wide interest, you'll exceed the reserve twofold, or even more. The same principle would apply to someone selling their home, in that if interest is great, they'll let the prospective purchasers battle it out to see who can raise the highest amount.

    The Scottish system uses the, 'Offers in excess of...', system to set a base price and allows people to makes offers in excess of this price, and allows the vendor to decide who's offer to accept (the highest is not always the best, as some offers come from cash buyers with immediate funds). This system is starting to materialise in England now, with some success in some areas (although I have seen a property that was sold for £5,000 below the stated price).

    Traditionally, in England, you marketed your house with an agent or three, and tended to accept the first genuine offer made, which would then result in your property being withdrawn from the market. There is no safety until contracts have been exchanged, which could take many months, or even years. Introducing the Scottish system to England would have a differing approach, whereby until an offer have been accepted, anyone could come in and offer more, or make a more solid offer (cash on the hip).

    The beauty of the Scottish system is that it allows you to set a price, then see just how much enthusiam your propert generates. You'll probably get a more realistic appraisal of your property this way, rather than setting the price at the absolute highest you think it might achieve, then spending months knocking thousands off the list price to generate interest.

    I should point out that even in the Recession, Estate Agents are still playing their little tricks. A property I wanted to look at was bought for bugger all, then sold on for £20,000 more than was paid for it, four weeks later. I know there was something suspicious about the sale, because the house was vacant possession, and I was obstructed at every opportunity from viewing the property. When it was sold, and recorded at Land Registry, it went for quite a bit less than the listed price. A month later, it was sold again, by the same Estate Agent who sold it the first time. When I inquired at the Agency about this property, I was buffed off.

    With Estate Agents thinking of new and exciting ways of fleecing the general public, we need the government to think of a system that allows more transparency in how agents market and sell our homes. I know, for a fact, that an offer on my old home was NOT passed on to me, even though it is a legal requirement. Maybe making it a law that an offer made should be done in duplicate, with one being given to the agent, and the other direct to the vendor (or vendor's agent, such as family member or someone with power of attourney). The agents hold too much power, and this should be removed, by giving back the homeowner some responsibility. After all, the Agents job is simply to introduce buyers (advertising portal) and nothing more. Why can't an offer be made direct to the vendor?

    Anyway, that's enough of my rant. House prices may drop, but not by any significant margin, due to supply and demand, and the greed of homeowners and Agents alike will always ensure that the prices of properties will always be maintained at an artifically high rate. I can't see any change soon, unless a Government grabs the housing market by the balls and does a radical shakeup. If left to the Agents who sell our properties, nothing will change.

    Report on 06 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  1 love
  • IPINLive
    Love rating 13
    IPINLive said

    Almost any investment (that is still viable anyway) will have increased over 10 or 25 years. Piping up with headlines like this only serves to mislead. Gold has risen 350%+ over the same period - so what?

    The point is that how markets have performed in the past serves little purpose as to how they may perform in the future. There will be some similarities of course, but the number of possible variables voids the concept that the past will repeat itself.

    If you take the gold markets stats year by year, (a similar trend will doubtlessly emerge with property in time) you will see that it isn't all sweetness and light.

    UK house prices do still have further to fall, but not to the extent imagined by most. In an ideal world of course houses should be affordable for everyone and so on, unfortunately though this is not, and never really has been the case. While sellers are free to ask whatever they like for a property, and buyers can similarly pick up bargains or overpay, the housing market will be a slow moving one.

    What isn't helping however, are fancy mortgages for first time buyers that serve no purpose other than to generate more negative equity for those that can least afford it.

    Report on 07 February 2011  |  Love thisLove  0 loves

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