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Six more lessons to learn from the noughties

Cliff D'Arcy
by Lovemoney Staff Cliff D'Arcy on 30 December 2009  |  Comments 8 comments

Cliff D'Arcy rounds up six more lessons we can learn from the past decade.

Earlier this week, I wrote six lessons to learn from the past decade. Obviously, there are many more lessons to learn - so without further ado, here are six more!

7.    Pensions took a knock

One of the biggest disasters of the Noughties was the collapse in public confidence in pensions. The reasons for the pensions mess are many and complex, but basically boil down to a combination of the following:

  • the closure of thousands of guaranteed final-salary schemes by private-sector firms unable or unwilling to fund the huge cost of providing these copper-bottomed schemes;
  • collapsing share prices, which severely reduced the value of many pension funds;
  • Gordon Brown's tax raid on pension funds, which reduced their income by £5 billion a year;
  • a fall in annuity rates, which drastically reduced the income paid by pension pots;
  • rising longevity, as living longer puts more strain on pension funds; and
  • rising state pension ages, with some workers forced to work until 68.

Today, only three in seven workers (43%) contribute to a pension, which suggests that the UK faces a retirement bombshell in the years ahead.

8.   Personal debt exploded

We explored the rapid increase in mortgage debt in lesson number six. Now it's the turn of non-mortgage debt, alias consumer credit, which largely consists of credit cards and store cards, car and personal loans, overdrafts and other finance agreements. As you can see, this has also shot up in the Noughties:

Year

Unsecured

debt

(£bn)

Yearly

increase

(%)

Year

Unsecured

debt

(£bn)

Yearly

increase

(%)

1999

120,830

N/A

2005

210,798

6.2

2000

134,652

11.4

2006

212,793

0.9

2001

150,049

11.4

2007

221,123

3.9

2002

168,491

12.3

2008

232,862

5.3

2003

180,271

7.0

Oct 2009

228,006

N/A

2004

198,506

10.1

 

The figures show that personal debt almost doubled in the Noughties, rising from £121 billion at the end of 1999 to £228 billion at the end of October 2009. This 89% increase in 118 months works out at 6.7% a year, so debt has risen much faster than wages. Still, at least personal debt has shrunk this year, which is highly unusual...

To get rid of your own debts, adopt our goal: Destroy your debts.

9.    Rip-offs rocketed

For me, the Noughties will be remembered as an era of legal rip-offs. I became a financial writer in 2003 and, for seven years, I've been warning readers to watch out for the tricks played on them by financial firms. At lovemoney.com, we've exposed everyday swindles such as the following:

  • card protection plans;
  • expensive '08' and '09' telephone numbers;
  • extended warranties on cars and other goods;
  • foreign-currency exchange fees;
  • high interest rates on credit and store cards;
  • high-charging, poor-performing investment funds;
  • minimum monthly repayments on credit cards;
  • mortgage endowments;
  • mortgage exit arrangement fees;
  • negative payment hierarchy on credit cards;
  • overdraft and credit-card penalties;
  • pathetic personal pensions;
  • payment protection insurance (PPI);
  • poor interest rates for loyal savers; and
  • secured loans.

I could go on, but this list is almost endless! Regulators have taken steps to improve consumer protection in some areas (particularly in the insurance and mortgage markets), but our watchdogs could do better. Let's aim for better protection for consumers during the next decade.

10. Saving fell out of fashion

The Noughties was definitely 'the decade that saving forgot'. Over the past ten years, the savings ratio (the proportion of our take-home pay which we save) has collapsed, as my next table proves:

Year

Ratio (%)

Year

Ratio (%)

2000

4.7

2005

3.9

2001

6.0

2006

2.9

2002

4.8

2007

2.2

2003

5.1

2008

1.7

2004

3.7

Q2/09

3.9

During the Nineties, the savings ratio dropped from 11.7% in 1992 to 5.2% in 1999, so our problem with sensible saving is a long-term one. The good news is that our willingness to save has bounced back this year, with the savings ratio leaping to 5.6% by mid-2009.

Another problem for savers came at the end of the Noughties, when banks started toppling like dominos. Fortunately, savers in Northern Rock, Bradford & Bingley, Icelandic-owned Icesave and other UK-based deposit-takers haven't lost a penny.

Sadly, thousands of savers who invested in offshore divisions of high-street names have lost their life savings. Thus, despite a strengthened safety-net for savers (in the form of the £50,000-per-account guarantee from the Financial Services Compensation Scheme), millions of us feel that saving isn't as secure as it once was.

11. Scams soared

Thanks to a boom in broadband usage, the Noughties became the first true 'Internet decade'. Despite the collapse of thousands of much-hyped technology businesses in the early 2000s, online banking and money management are now everyday tools of modern life.

Alas, as our appetite for online finance has increased, so too have the scams and spam (unwanted email) aimed at stealing our online money. In Spam, scams and cyber-crooks and The top ten scariest scams, I show you how to stop the millions of web-based criminals from nicking your hard-earned cash.

12. Shares took a tumble

Investing in companies by buying their shares is a long-term game. It's probably not worth taking the risk if your investment timescale is five years or less. Indeed, most pundits agree that you need to tuck your money away for a decade or more in order to take full advantage of the gains to be made from the stock market.

Alas, the Noughties are shaping up to be one of the worst-ever decades for British investors. It's quite rare for the UK stock market to drop over the course of a whole decade (though it fell slightly in 1964-74 and 1965-75, for example). The bad news is that the 2000s look to be one of -- if not the worst -- decade for investors in modern British history.

On 31 December 1999, the blue-chip FTSE 100 hit an all-time closing high of 6,930. As I write, it stands at 5,325. In other words, the Footsie has fallen 1,605 points, or almost a quarter (23%) during the Noughties.

Of course, this spells bad news for investors, pension funds and for most people with stakes in listed businesses. Still, the evidence suggests that the decades following a down decade are dynamite, so investing for the next ten years could well pay off...

That's all from me for this year. Here's wishing you a happy and prosperous decade to come!

More: Start saving for 2010 onwards | The best credit cards for Christmas | Have a holiday from your mortgage payments

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Comments (8)

  • westwinds3
    Love rating 8
    westwinds3 said

      Thank you dillhernic for a bit of balance. I have been a trustee of a fair-sized final salary pension scheme for 15 years. It was the 105% rule introduced by a Conservative government which forced trustees to award employers contribution holidays, and prevented pension schemes from building up any sensible reserves. This did at least as much harm as removing the dividend tax break. Going back further, it was a Conservative government that broke the link between the state pesion and earnings, which has forced many people to rely on means testing, with their savings effectively taxed at 100% and worthless. Also, in the 70's we had a decent state second pension, which a Conservative government reneged on.

      I am not suggesting that the present government has made life easy for pension fund trustees. It has been too fond of pointless fiddling, and often failed to address the right issue at the right time.

      What I would suggest is that messing up people's pensions is a completely bipartisan political activity.

     

    Report on 31 December 2009  |  Love thisLove  0 loves
  • matchmade
    Love rating 28
    matchmade said

    I'm sorry to carp, but it doesn't seem fair to take 31 December 1999 as a base point for shares - the stock market was nearing the end of an almighty bubble in technology shares at that time. A fairer point of comparison might have been to take average annual rates of return, or the floating rate of return. And what about dividends? Most people's portfolios, if they remained invested, would have shown a loss in straight index terms, but a much better performance (though still lamentable) if dividends are included.

    The same applies to Cliff's selective use of dates regarding the savings ratio. In 1992 we were in the midst of recession: of course the savings ratio was high!

    If we must have political comment, I feel it is time for a change, but the Labour Government could have been a lot, lot worse. Under Tony Blair with Gordon Brown as Chancellor, there was a pretty consistent approach as regards trying to reduce poverty and offer hope for the aspirational lower-middle and middle-classes, whilst also recognising that the UK is nothing if it does not encourage and promote private businesses and profit-making. The capital gains approach to small businesses was a genuine improvement, and the Government showed a pretty sure instinct for wanting business to flourish and generate the profits that can then be taxed to improve the NHS and social programmes. Unfortunately this consistency of approach has deserted the Government over the last couple of years - they keep increasing NI contributions and taxing jobs, they markedly increased capital gains on business whilst decreasing it for buy-to-let investors, they seem incapable of controlling the budget of the NHS or Social Security and state expenditure has raced out of control, and they promote the public sector too much (guaranteed salary-linked pensions, 6% higher pay on average than the private sector, continually falling productivity, 900,000 extra people weighing down the state payroll, subsidised "affordable" housing for "key workers" paid for by higher prices on new-build private homes, thereby making private housing even less affordable for everyone else, and so on and so on). I could go on about the Government's illiberal and authoritarian tendencies and its now-nauseating army of little Hitlers telling everyone how to behave, but my main problem is that I have lost faith in the ability of the Government to understand the business sector or come up with a sensible set of policies to promote growth and get us out of this recession. I will therefore be voting Tory in 2010 for the first time.

    Report on 04 January 2010  |  Love thisLove  0 loves

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